Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Athos Haifa Lot 1, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Maccabi Neve Sha'anan (1,674) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 3-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0-2 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan sit 4th in Liga Alef (36 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm sit 16th (11 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 36 |
| 16 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 37 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
- Where and when is Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm played?
- Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Athos Haifa Lot 1, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsIroni Nesher
- Mar 20, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsTzeirey Tamra
- Mar 20, 2027TiravsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Mar 20, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Nazareth Illit