Match

Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Bnei MusmusHapoel Tirat HaCarmel

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,521).

Hapoel Bnei Musmus win52 %
Draw25 %
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)2-0Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(home)0-1Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)3-2Liga Alef
Jan 24, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(home)2-1Liga Alef
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(home)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(home)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Ironi Nesher(away)1-1Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)1-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2025Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-1 Hapoel Bnei MusmusLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus on Nov 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Bnei Musmus1.51.3310/159/15
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel0.61.917/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th (12 points from 21 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus21966282833
15Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel213315164212

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hapoel Bnei Musmus and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

Ready to know everything about football?