Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus on Nov 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th (12 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 33 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsIroni Nesher
- Mar 20, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Mar 20, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsTzeirey Tamra
- Mar 20, 2027TiravsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Mar 20, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Nazareth Illit