Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Yam Synthetic, Kiryat Yam
The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Ironi Baka El Garbiya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Maccabi K. Ata Bialik (1,745) and Ironi Baka El Garbiya (1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi K. Ata Bialik have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 5-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 1-0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2-1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 0-1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1-1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 0-0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1-0 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik sit 3rd in Liga Alef (38 points from 22 matches) and Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 38 |
| 9 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi K. Ata Bialik the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
- Where and when is Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya played?
- Maccabi K. Ata Bialik vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Yam Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsIroni Nesher
- Mar 20, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Mar 20, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsTzeirey Tamra
- Mar 20, 2027TiravsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Nazareth Illit