Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, Hadera
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tira(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1-1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | Liga Alef |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-3 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th in Liga Alef (33 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th (12 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 33 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel played?
- Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsTzeirey Tamra
- Oct 10, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Oct 10, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Oct 10, 2026TiravsIroni Nesher
- Oct 10, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Oct 10, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt