Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Beit Shean: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beit Shean the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657) and Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Beit Shean have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Tira(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Beit Shean win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-3 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 3-1 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Beit Shean on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Beit Shean sit 7th (32 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 32 |
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beit Shean the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.
- Where and when is Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Beit Shean played?
- Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Beit Shean is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsTzeirey Tamra
- Oct 10, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Oct 10, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Oct 10, 2026TiravsIroni Nesher
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Oct 10, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt