Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Tzeirey Tamra: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Migdal HaEmek
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Tzeirey Tamra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Tzeirey Tamra?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,711 vs 1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Tzeirey Tamra have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tira(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tzeirey Tamra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra 0-2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-0 Tzeirey Tamra | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Tzeirey Tamra | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirey Tamra sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
| 12 | Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 47 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Tzeirey Tamra?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Tzeirey Tamra.
- Where and when is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Tzeirey Tamra played?
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Tzeirey Tamra is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Oct 10, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Oct 10, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Oct 10, 2026TiravsIroni Nesher
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Oct 10, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Oct 10, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt