Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kaukab Stadium, Kaukab Abu al-Hija
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus | State Cup |
| Sep 7, 2018 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0-2 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed sit 14th in Liga Alef (17 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.
- Where and when is Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus played?
- Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kaukab Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsTzeirey Tamra
- Oct 10, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Oct 10, 2026TiravsIroni Nesher
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Oct 10, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Oct 10, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt