Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tamra
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Tzeirey Tamra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Tzeirey Tamra (1,588) and Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirey Tamra have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tira(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 11, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(away) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 4, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirey Tamra | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Nazareth Illit | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 47 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Tzeirey Tamra.
- Where and when is Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?
- Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Feb 6, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Beit Shean
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- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Feb 6, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Feb 6, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel