Match

Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Beit Shean: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, Baqa al-Gharbiyye

Ironi Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Beit Shean

The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Beit Shean. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Beit Shean?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Ironi Baka El Garbiya (1,702) and Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653).

Ironi Baka El Garbiya win39 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Beit Shean win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Beit Shean have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ironi Baka El Garbiya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Ironi Nesher(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)0-3Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home)4-1Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away)1-2Liga Alef
Hapoel Beit Shean
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Tira(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)3-2Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away)1-0Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)2-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Hapoel Beit Shean win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 6, 2025Hapoel Beit Shean 2-1 Ironi Baka El GarbiyaLiga Alef
Dec 10, 2024Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0-4 Hapoel Beit SheanLiga Alef
Feb 9, 2018Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1-0 Hapoel Beit SheanLiga Alef
Sep 26, 2017Hapoel Beit Shean 1-2 Ironi Baka El GarbiyaLiga Alef
Jan 20, 2017Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0-1 Hapoel Beit SheanLiga Alef
Sep 16, 2016Hapoel Beit Shean 2-1 Ironi Baka El GarbiyaLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Dec 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ironi Baka El Garbiya1.41.529/159/15
Hapoel Beit Shean1.30.776/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Beit Shean sit 7th (32 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Hapoel Beit Shean22886282732
9Ironi Baka El Garbiya22949333031

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Beit Shean.
Where and when is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Beit Shean played?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Beit Shean is played on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ironi Baka El Garbiya and Hapoel Beit Shean

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