Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Beit Shean: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, Baqa al-Gharbiyye
The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Beit Shean. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Ironi Baka El Garbiya (1,702) and Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Beit Shean have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Tira(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Hapoel Beit Shean win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Hapoel Beit Shean 2-1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0-4 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Feb 9, 2018 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1-0 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Sep 26, 2017 | Hapoel Beit Shean 1-2 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Jan 20, 2017 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0-1 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Sep 16, 2016 | Hapoel Beit Shean 2-1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Beit Shean vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Beit Shean sit 7th (32 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 32 |
| 9 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Beit Shean.
- Where and when is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Beit Shean played?
- Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Beit Shean is played on February 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 6, 2027Beitar NahariyavsIroni Nesher
- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Feb 6, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Feb 6, 2027TiravsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Feb 6, 2027Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Feb 6, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Feb 6, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel