Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 10Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Hapoel Marmorek (1,608) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-2 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 2-2 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Jan 5, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 35 |
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi played?
- Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi is played on November 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 6, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Nov 6, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsNordia Jerusalem
- Nov 6, 2026Beitar YavnevsHapoel Azor
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Herzliya
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Sderot
- Nov 7, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsTzeirey Tira
- Nov 7, 2026FC JerusalemvsDimona
- Nov 7, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsMaccabi Yavne