Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)HaMoshava Stadium, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Haifa the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Petah Tikva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa?
Maccabi Haifa starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Petah Tikva have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Maccabi Haifa have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 0-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 4-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Petah Tikva win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Haifa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa 1-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 2, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-2 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa 0-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-0 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 3, 2024 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-2 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Maccabi Haifa 2-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Petah Tikva score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Haifa score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Maccabi Haifa | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Petah Tikva sit 12th in Ligat Ha'al (0 points from 1 matches) and Maccabi Haifa sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Haifa the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Petah Tikva.
- Where and when is Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa played?
- Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa is played on December 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at HaMoshava Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.