Beitar Jerusalem vs Bnei Sakhnin: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Teddi Malcha Stadium, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Bnei Sakhnin. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Jerusalem vs Bnei Sakhnin?
Beitar Jerusalem is a heavy favourite: 2,061 Elo points against 1,716, a 345-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Jerusalem have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Bnei Sakhnin have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 3-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 0-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Beitar Jerusalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bnei Sakhnin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 2-1 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Bnei Sakhnin 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-0 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Bnei Sakhnin 2-1 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Bnei Sakhnin 2-1 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Beitar Jerusalem vs Bnei Sakhnin on Dec 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Jerusalem score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bnei Sakhnin score 0.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Bnei Sakhnin | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bnei Sakhnin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Jerusalem vs Bnei Sakhnin?
- The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Bnei Sakhnin.
- Where and when is Beitar Jerusalem vs Bnei Sakhnin played?
- Beitar Jerusalem vs Bnei Sakhnin is played on December 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Teddi Malcha Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.