Where and when is Harborough Town vs Chorley played?

Harborough Town vs Chorley is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Bowden Park, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Harborough Town vs Chorley: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Bowden Park, Market Harborough, Leicestershire

Harborough Town

Chorley

The Footlab model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Harborough Town vs Chorley?

Harborough Town starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (2,009 vs 1,813).

Harborough Town win60 %

Draw22 %

Chorley win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harborough Town have 8 wins, 7 draws and 0 defeats; Chorley have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Harborough Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Darlington 1883(home)	4-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Oxford City(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Morecambe(home)	1-0	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	King's Lynn Town(away)	1-1	National League - North
Apr 25, 2026	Stamford(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central

Chorley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Marine(away)	2-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	South Shields(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Chester(home)	1-2	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Trafford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Harborough Town score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Harborough Town	2.0	0.9	4	11/15	8/15
Chorley	0.9	1.2	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Harborough Town sit 7th in National League - North (8 points from 4 matches) and Chorley sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Harborough Town	4	2	2	0	7	4	8
9	Chorley	4	2	0	2	6	5	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Harborough Town vs Chorley?: The Footlab model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Chorley.
Where and when is Harborough Town vs Chorley played?: Harborough Town vs Chorley is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Bowden Park, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.