Harborough Town vs Chorley: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Bowden Park, Market Harborough, Leicestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Harborough Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harborough Town vs Chorley?
Harborough Town starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,765).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Harborough Town vs Chorley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Harborough Town
Not enough data to predict the Harborough Town lineup.
Chorley
Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 11:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harborough Town have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chorley have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Southport(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Harborough Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborough Town | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Chorley | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harborough Town sit 17th in National League - North (17 points from 14 matches) and Chorley sit 12th (20 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Chorley | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| 17 | Harborough Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 17 |
A question about Harborough Town vs Chorley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harborough Town vs Chorley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Chorley.
- Where and when is Harborough Town vs Chorley played?
- Harborough Town vs Chorley is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Bowden Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027MacclesfieldvsKing's Lynn Town
- Apr 24, 2027ChestervsRadcliffe
- Apr 24, 2027SouthportvsOxford City
- Apr 24, 2027HerefordvsScarborough Athletic
- Apr 24, 2027Brackley TownvsDarlington 1883
- Apr 24, 2027Spennymoor TownvsBuxton
- Apr 24, 2027Worksop TownvsMerthyr Town
- Apr 24, 2027Bedford TownvsHebburn Town