Match

Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Windsor Foodservice Stadium, Worksop, Nottinghamshire

Worksop TownMerthyr Town

The Footlab model makes Worksop Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Merthyr Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Worksop Town (1,843) and Merthyr Town (1,851).

Worksop Town win43 %
Draw25 %
Merthyr Town win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worksop Town have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Merthyr Town have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Worksop Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hereford(home)0-3National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Hebburn Town(away)0-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026AFC Telford United(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Darlington 1883(away)2-1National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Mickleover Sports(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Merthyr Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026South Shields(away)1-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026AFC Telford United(home)2-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Spennymoor Town(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Hednesford Town(home)2-0National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Worcester City(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Worksop Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Merthyr Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 10, 2026Worksop Town 3-5 Merthyr TownNational League - North
Sep 6, 2025Merthyr Town 2-0 Worksop TownNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town on Jan 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Worksop Town score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Worksop Town1.91.076/158/15
Merthyr Town1.51.5310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Worksop Town sit 10th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Worksop Town4202466
12Merthyr Town4121655

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town?
The Footlab model makes Worksop Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Merthyr Town.
Where and when is Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town played?
Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Windsor Foodservice Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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