Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Windsor Foodservice Stadium, Worksop, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Worksop Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Merthyr Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Worksop Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Worksop Town (1,748) and Merthyr Town (1,839).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Worksop Town
Not enough data to predict the Worksop Town lineup.
Merthyr Town
Not enough data to predict the Merthyr Town lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 11:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worksop Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Merthyr Town have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 5-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 3-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Worksop Town wins, 0 draws, 2 Merthyr Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Worksop Town 3-5 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Merthyr Town 2-0 Worksop Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Worksop Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worksop Town | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worksop Town sit 14th in National League - North (20 points from 15 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 16th (19 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Worksop Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
| 16 | Merthyr Town | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
A question about Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Worksop Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Merthyr Town.
- Where and when is Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town played?
- Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Windsor Foodservice Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027MacclesfieldvsKing's Lynn Town
- Apr 24, 2027ChestervsRadcliffe
- Apr 24, 2027SouthportvsOxford City
- Apr 24, 2027HerefordvsScarborough Athletic
- Apr 24, 2027Brackley TownvsDarlington 1883
- Apr 24, 2027Spennymoor TownvsBuxton
- Apr 24, 2027Bedford TownvsHebburn Town
- Apr 24, 2027Spalding UnitedvsMorecambe