Paloma vs Niendorfer TSV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:45 AM (UTC)Jonny Rehbein Sportplatz, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Niendorfer TSV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paloma vs Niendorfer TSV?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Paloma (1,910) and Niendorfer TSV (1,903).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paloma have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Niendorfer TSV have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | HT16(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Türkiye(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Paloma win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Niendorfer TSV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV 5-3 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Paloma 0-3 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Niendorfer TSV 2-2 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Paloma 2-1 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 17, 2024 | Niendorfer TSV 2-2 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Paloma 2-1 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Niendorfer TSV vs Paloma on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paloma score 2.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Niendorfer TSV score 2.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paloma | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Niendorfer TSV | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paloma sit 5th in Oberliga - Hamburg (61 points from 34 matches) and Niendorfer TSV sit 9th (50 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paloma | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 50 | 61 |
| 9 | Niendorfer TSV | 34 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 75 | 57 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paloma vs Niendorfer TSV?
- The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Niendorfer TSV.
- Where and when is Paloma vs Niendorfer TSV played?
- Paloma vs Niendorfer TSV is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:45 AM (UTC) at Jonny Rehbein Sportplatz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.