Nikola Tesla vs HT16: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Vorhornweg Platz 1, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes HT16 the favourite at 62%, against 17% for a draw and 21% for Nikola Tesla. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nikola Tesla vs HT16?
HT16 starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nikola Tesla have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; HT16 have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pinneberg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Curslack-Neuengamme(away) | 8-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Nikola Tesla win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 HT16 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Nikola Tesla 0-2 HT16 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 27, 2025 | HT16 1-3 Nikola Tesla | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Nikola Tesla score 2.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; HT16 score 2.8 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Tesla | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| HT16 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nikola Tesla sit 15th in Oberliga - Hamburg (37 points from 34 matches) and HT16 sit 6th (57 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | HT16 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 85 | 85 | 57 |
| 15 | Nikola Tesla | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 70 | 95 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nikola Tesla vs HT16?
- The Footlab model makes HT16 the favourite at 62%, against 17% for a draw and 21% for Nikola Tesla.
- Where and when is Nikola Tesla vs HT16 played?
- Nikola Tesla vs HT16 is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Vorhornweg Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.