Buchholz vs Süderelbe: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Otto-Koch-Kampfbahn, Buchholz in der Nordheide
The Footlab AI model makes Süderelbe the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Buchholz. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buchholz vs Süderelbe?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Buchholz (1,778) and Süderelbe (1,829).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buchholz vs Süderelbe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buchholz
Not enough data to predict the Buchholz lineup.
Süderelbe
Not enough data to predict the Süderelbe lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchholz have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Süderelbe have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 3-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 5-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pinneberg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 11, 2026 | HT16(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Buchholz wins, 2 draws, 1 Süderelbe win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Süderelbe 4-2 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Buchholz 5-3 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 16, 2025 | Süderelbe 0-1 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Buchholz 2-0 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Buchholz 2-2 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Süderelbe 3-3 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Süderelbe vs Buchholz on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buchholz score 2.3 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Süderelbe score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchholz | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Süderelbe | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buchholz sit 12th in Oberliga - Hamburg (44 points from 34 matches) and Süderelbe sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Süderelbe | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 72 | 64 | 51 |
| 12 | Buchholz | 34 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 87 | 80 | 44 |
A question about Buchholz vs Süderelbe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buchholz vs Süderelbe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Süderelbe the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Buchholz.
- Where and when is Buchholz vs Süderelbe played?
- Buchholz vs Süderelbe is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Otto-Koch-Kampfbahn, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.