Carlisle vs Wealdstone: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Wealdstone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carlisle wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carlisle vs Wealdstone?
Carlisle starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,798).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carlisle vs Wealdstone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carlisle
4-3-3- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 9G. Kelly
- 6M. Azeez
- 4H. Bunker
- 30T. Jenks
- 15B. Nicholson
- 17L. Duru
- 5M. Feeney
- 18J. Ellis
- 1A. Desbois
Wealdstone
4-3-3- 7L. Norris
- 9O. Olomola
- 26F. Okenabirhie
- 4J. Wells-Morrison
- 11Daniel Chesters
- 31R. Maher
- 12A. Francis-Clarke
- 22C. McAvoy
- 32Abraham Kanu
- 3J. Newton
- 1D. Baptiste
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Wealdstone have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-5 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 0-6 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 4-0 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 1-2 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Carlisle wins, 1 draw, 0 Wealdstone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Wealdstone 1-1 Carlisle | National League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Carlisle 2-0 Wealdstone | National League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Wealdstone 0-1 Carlisle | National League |
Last archived meeting: Wealdstone vs Carlisle on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Wealdstone score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Wealdstone | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carlisle sit 14th in National League (17 points from 13 matches) and Wealdstone sit 19th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 17 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 12 |
A question about Carlisle vs Wealdstone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carlisle vs Wealdstone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Wealdstone.
- Where and when is Carlisle vs Wealdstone played?
- Carlisle vs Wealdstone is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Brunton Park, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.