Harstad vs Fløya: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 17Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Harstad Stadion, Harstad
The Footlab model makes Harstad the favourite at 59%, against 18% for a draw and 23% for Fløya. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harstad vs Fløya?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Harstad (1,633) and Fløya (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harstad have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fløya have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tromsdalen Uil(home) | 0-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lillestrøm II(away) | 4-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skjervøy(home) | 7-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bossekop(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fauske Sprint(home) | 10-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Junkeren(home) | 5-3 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Skjervøy(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Ulfstind(home) | 7-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alta(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lillestrøm II(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Harstad win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Fløya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Fløya 2-1 Harstad | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Fløya 0-3 Harstad | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Harstad 2-5 Fløya | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Fløya 2-3 Harstad | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| May 20, 2024 | Harstad 2-4 Fløya | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Harstad 2-2 Fløya | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Harstad score 3.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fløya score 3.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harstad | 3.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Fløya | 3.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harstad sit 4th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (27 points from 16 matches) and Fløya sit 3rd (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fløya | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 29 |
| 4 | Harstad | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 53 | 27 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harstad vs Fløya?
- The Footlab model makes Harstad the favourite at 59%, against 18% for a draw and 23% for Fløya.
- Where and when is Harstad vs Fløya played?
- Harstad vs Fløya is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Harstad Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.