Skedsmo vs Tromsø II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 17Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Skedsmo stadion kunstgress, Skedsmokorset
The Footlab model makes Skedsmo the favourite at 60%, against 18% for a draw and 21% for Tromsø II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skedsmo vs Tromsø II?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Skedsmo (1,639) and Tromsø II (1,566).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skedsmo have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Tromsø II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fauske Sprint(home) | 5-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Finnsnes(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Kongsvinger II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Skjetten(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Bossekop(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alta(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(away) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ulfstind(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Lillestrøm II(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Skedsmo win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tromsø II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Tromsø II 2-3 Skedsmo | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Skedsmo score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tromsø II score 1.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skedsmo | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Tromsø II | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skedsmo sit 1st in 3. Division - Girone 5 (36 points from 16 matches) and Tromsø II sit 12th (17 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skedsmo | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 22 | 36 |
| 12 | Tromsø II | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skedsmo vs Tromsø II?
- The Footlab model makes Skedsmo the favourite at 60%, against 18% for a draw and 21% for Tromsø II.
- Where and when is Skedsmo vs Tromsø II played?
- Skedsmo vs Tromsø II is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Skedsmo stadion kunstgress, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.