Match

Kongsvinger II vs Ulfstind: prediction and stats

3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 17Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger

Kongsvinger IIUlfstind

The Footlab model makes Kongsvinger II the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Ulfstind. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kongsvinger II vs Ulfstind?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Kongsvinger II (1,550) and Ulfstind (1,505).

Kongsvinger II win58 %
Draw19 %
Ulfstind win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kongsvinger II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ulfstind have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kongsvinger II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Alta(away)0-63. Division - Girone 5
Aug 10, 2026Strømsgodset II(home)2-33. Division - Girone 5
Aug 3, 2026Lillestrøm II(away)5-43. Division - Girone 5
Jul 27, 2026Skedsmo(home)1-33. Division - Girone 5
Jun 27, 2026Bossekop(away)2-03. Division - Girone 5
Ulfstind
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tromso(home)0-5NM Cupen
Aug 15, 2026Skjetten(home)4-23. Division - Girone 5
Aug 6, 2026Fløya(away)0-73. Division - Girone 5
Jul 30, 2026Skjervøy(home)1-33. Division - Girone 5
Jul 25, 2026Tromsø II(away)3-13. Division - Girone 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Kongsvinger II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ulfstind win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Ulfstind 3-4 Kongsvinger II3. Division - Girone 5
Sep 14, 2024Kongsvinger II 3-2 Ulfstind3. Division - Girone 6
Apr 21, 2024Ulfstind 2-3 Kongsvinger II3. Division - Girone 6

Last archived meeting: Ulfstind vs Kongsvinger II on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kongsvinger II score 1.9 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ulfstind score 1.5 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kongsvinger II1.92.8112/1512/15
Ulfstind1.53.5110/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kongsvinger II sit 10th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (20 points from 16 matches) and Ulfstind sit 13th (14 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Kongsvinger II16628324220
13Ulfstind164210305214

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kongsvinger II vs Ulfstind?
The Footlab model makes Kongsvinger II the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Ulfstind.
Where and when is Kongsvinger II vs Ulfstind played?
Kongsvinger II vs Ulfstind is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Gjemselund Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kongsvinger II and Ulfstind

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