Hässleholms IF vs Jonkopings Sodra: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 26Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Österås IP, Hässleholm
The Footlab model makes Hässleholms IF the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Jonkopings Sodra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hässleholms IF vs Jonkopings Sodra?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Hässleholms IF (1,685) and Jonkopings Sodra (1,616).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hässleholms IF have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Jonkopings Sodra have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Laholm(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(home) | 0-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lund(away) | 3-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Utsikten(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atvidabergs FF(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rosengård(home) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Laholm(away) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Olympic(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosengård(away) | 2-4 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 27, 2026 | IFK Skövde(away) | 0-1 | Svenska Cupen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Hässleholms IF win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Jonkopings Sodra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Jonkopings Sodra 2-0 Hässleholms IF | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Hässleholms IF 1-2 Jonkopings Sodra | Ettan - Södra |
| May 28, 2025 | Jonkopings Sodra 2-1 Hässleholms IF | Ettan - Södra |
Last archived meeting: Jonkopings Sodra vs Hässleholms IF on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hässleholms IF score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Jonkopings Sodra score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hässleholms IF | 1.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Jonkopings Sodra | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hässleholms IF sit 3rd in Ettan - Södra (33 points from 18 matches) and Jonkopings Sodra sit 9th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hässleholms IF | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 33 |
| 9 | Jonkopings Sodra | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hässleholms IF vs Jonkopings Sodra?
- The Footlab model makes Hässleholms IF the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Jonkopings Sodra.
- Where and when is Hässleholms IF vs Jonkopings Sodra played?
- Hässleholms IF vs Jonkopings Sodra is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Österås IP, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.