Rosengård vs Atvidabergs FF: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 26Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rosengårds IP (Södra), Malmö
The Footlab model makes Atvidabergs FF the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Rosengård. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rosengård vs Atvidabergs FF?
Atvidabergs FF starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,560).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rosengård have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Atvidabergs FF have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jonkopings Sodra(away) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Utsikten(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eskilsminne(away) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jonkopings Sodra(home) | 4-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FA 2000(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Angelholms FF(home) | 4-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Skövde AIK(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tvååker(away) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(away) | 0-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Rosengård(home) | 3-3 | Ettan - Södra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Rosengård win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Atvidabergs FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Atvidabergs FF 3-3 Rosengård | Ettan - Södra |
Last archived meeting: Atvidabergs FF vs Rosengård on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rosengård score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atvidabergs FF score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosengård | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Atvidabergs FF | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rosengård sit 6th in Ettan - Södra (28 points from 18 matches) and Atvidabergs FF sit 2nd (35 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atvidabergs FF | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 35 |
| 6 | Rosengård | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rosengård vs Atvidabergs FF?
- The Footlab model makes Atvidabergs FF the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Rosengård.
- Where and when is Rosengård vs Atvidabergs FF played?
- Rosengård vs Atvidabergs FF is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rosengårds IP (Södra), in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.