Lund vs Trollhättan: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 26Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Klostergårdens IP, Lund
The Footlab model makes Lund the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Trollhättan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lund vs Trollhättan?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Lund (1,603) and Trollhättan (1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lund have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Trollhättan have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Malmo(away) | 5-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(home) | 0-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skövde AIK(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Trelleborg(away) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Skövde AIK(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trelleborg(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Angelholms FF(away) | 1-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Laholm(home) | 0-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Laholm(away) | 1-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stenungsund(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lund win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Trollhättan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Trollhättan 1-1 Lund | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Lund 1-1 Trollhättan | Ettan - Södra |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Trollhättan 1-5 Lund | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Trollhättan 0-2 Lund | Ettan - Södra |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Lund 3-2 Trollhättan | Ettan - Södra |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Lund 1-0 Trollhättan | Ettan - Södra |
How many goals should we expect?
Lund score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Trollhättan score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lund | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Trollhättan | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lund sit 3rd in Ettan - Södra (31 points from 18 matches) and Trollhättan sit 11th (22 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lund | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 24 | 31 |
| 11 | Trollhättan | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lund vs Trollhättan?
- The Footlab model makes Lund the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Trollhättan.
- Where and when is Lund vs Trollhättan played?
- Lund vs Trollhättan is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Klostergårdens IP, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.