Trelleborg vs Kristianstad: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 26Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Vångavallen, Trelleborg
The Footlab model makes Trelleborg the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Kristianstad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trelleborg vs Kristianstad?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Trelleborg (1,595) and Kristianstad (1,517).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trelleborg have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Kristianstad have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trollhättan(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eskilsminne(home) | 1-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Malmo(away) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lund(home) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Skövde AIK(away) | 1-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tvååker(home) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Angelholms FF(home) | 1-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lilla Torg(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Eskilsminne(away) | 2-3 | Ettan - Södra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Trelleborg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kristianstad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Kristianstad 0-0 Trelleborg | Ettan - Södra |
Last archived meeting: Kristianstad vs Trelleborg on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trelleborg score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kristianstad score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trelleborg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Kristianstad | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trelleborg sit 1st in Ettan - Södra (36 points from 18 matches) and Kristianstad sit 15th (17 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborg | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 20 | 36 |
| 15 | Kristianstad | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 29 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trelleborg vs Kristianstad?
- The Footlab model makes Trelleborg the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Kristianstad.
- Where and when is Trelleborg vs Kristianstad played?
- Trelleborg vs Kristianstad is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Vångavallen, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.