Haukar vs Selfoss: prediction and stats
2. DeildRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)BIRTU völlurinn, Hafnarfjörður
The Footlab model makes Haukar the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Selfoss. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Haukar vs Selfoss?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Haukar (1,557) and Selfoss (1,569).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Haukar have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Selfoss have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dalvík / Reynir(home) | 5-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kormákur / Hvöt(away) | 2-1 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hvíti riddarinn(home) | 3-1 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fjardabyggd / Leiknir(away) | 2-1 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Reynir(home) | 3-2 | Fotbolti.net Cup A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Thróttur Vogar(away) | 3-1 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kári(home) | 2-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fjolnir(home) | 6-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Vikingur Olafsiik(away) | 0-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ýmir(home) | 4-0 | Fotbolti.net Cup A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Haukar win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Selfoss win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Selfoss 2-2 Haukar | 2. Deild |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Selfoss 4-0 Haukar | Cup |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Haukar 1-2 Selfoss | 2. Deild |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Selfoss 1-2 Haukar | 2. Deild |
| Sep 2, 2020 | Selfoss 2-1 Haukar | 2. Deild |
| Jul 7, 2020 | Haukar 1-2 Selfoss | 2. Deild |
How many goals should we expect?
Haukar score 2.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Selfoss score 2.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haukar | 2.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Selfoss | 2.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Haukar sit 1st in 2. Deild (44 points from 19 matches) and Selfoss sit 2nd (36 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haukar | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 25 | 44 |
| 2 | Selfoss | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 45 | 34 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Haukar vs Selfoss?
- The Footlab model makes Haukar the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Selfoss.
- Where and when is Haukar vs Selfoss played?
- Haukar vs Selfoss is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at BIRTU völlurinn, in the 2. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.