Fjolnir vs Thróttur Vogar: prediction and stats
2. DeildRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Extra völlurinn, Reykjavík
The Footlab model makes Fjolnir the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Thróttur Vogar. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fjolnir vs Thróttur Vogar?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Fjolnir (1,469) and Thróttur Vogar (1,413).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fjolnir have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Thróttur Vogar have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kári(away) | 0-1 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fjardabyggd / Leiknir(home) | 1-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Selfoss(away) | 2-6 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | KFG(home) | 4-1 | 2. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vikingur Olafsiik(away) | 2-2 | 2. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Selfoss(home) | 1-3 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Vikingur Olafsiik(away) | 1-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalvík / Reynir(home) | 2-0 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kormákur / Hvöt(away) | 0-2 | 2. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hvíti riddarinn(home) | 3-1 | 2. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Fjolnir win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Thróttur Vogar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Thróttur Vogar 3-2 Fjolnir | 2. Deild |
| Jul 21, 2022 | Fjolnir 6-0 Thróttur Vogar | 1. Deild |
| May 6, 2022 | Thróttur Vogar 0-3 Fjolnir | 1. Deild |
Last archived meeting: Thróttur Vogar vs Fjolnir on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fjolnir score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Thróttur Vogar score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fjolnir | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
| Thróttur Vogar | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fjolnir sit 6th in 2. Deild (25 points from 19 matches) and Thróttur Vogar sit 10th (19 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fjolnir | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 41 | 25 |
| 10 | Thróttur Vogar | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 38 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fjolnir vs Thróttur Vogar?
- The Footlab model makes Fjolnir the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Thróttur Vogar.
- Where and when is Fjolnir vs Thróttur Vogar played?
- Fjolnir vs Thróttur Vogar is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Extra völlurinn, in the 2. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.