Magni vs Kári: prediction and stats
2. DeildRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boginn, Akureyri
The Footlab model makes Magni the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Kári. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magni vs Kári?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Magni (1,426) and Kári (1,480).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magni have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kári have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vikingur Olafsiik(home) | 3-1 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dalvík / Reynir(away) | 1-1 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kormákur / Hvöt(home) | 3-0 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hvíti riddarinn(away) | 0-1 | 2. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Fjardabyggd / Leiknir(home) | 3-0 | 2. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fjolnir(home) | 1-0 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Selfoss(away) | 2-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vikingur Olafsiik(home) | 4-1 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dalvík / Reynir(away) | 1-1 | 2. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kormákur / Hvöt(home) | 1-1 | 2. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Magni win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kári win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Kári 1-1 Magni | 2. Deild |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Magni 3-1 Kári | 2. Deild |
| Jul 10, 2021 | Kári 1-2 Magni | 2. Deild |
How many goals should we expect?
Magni score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kári score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magni | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Kári | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Magni sit 7th in 2. Deild (25 points from 19 matches) and Kári sit 3rd (33 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kári | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 48 | 29 | 33 |
| 7 | Magni | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 44 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magni vs Kári?
- The Footlab model makes Magni the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Kári.
- Where and when is Magni vs Kári played?
- Magni vs Kári is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boginn, in the 2. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.