Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Waldhof Mannheim: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Waldhof Mannheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Waldhof Mannheim?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,910) and Waldhof Mannheim (1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Waldhof Mannheim have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Waldhof Mannheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Düsseldorf on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Waldhof Mannheim score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Waldhof Mannheim sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Waldhof Mannheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Waldhof Mannheim?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Düsseldorf the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Waldhof Mannheim.
- Where and when is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Waldhof Mannheim played?
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Waldhof Mannheim is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Düsseldorf Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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