Hebar 1918 vs Rilski Sportist: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
The Footlab model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Rilski Sportist. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hebar 1918 vs Rilski Sportist?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Hebar 1918 (1,564) and Rilski Sportist (1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hebar 1918 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Rilski Sportist have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 3-4 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Hebar 1918 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rilski Sportist win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2019 | Rilski Sportist 2-3 Hebar 1918 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 24, 2018 | Hebar 1918 2-0 Rilski Sportist | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Rilski Sportist vs Hebar 1918 on Apr 24, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Rilski Sportist score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hebar 1918 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Rilski Sportist | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hebar 1918 sit 13th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Rilski Sportist sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hebar 1918 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 14 | Rilski Sportist | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hebar 1918 vs Rilski Sportist?
- The Footlab model makes Hebar 1918 the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Rilski Sportist.
- Where and when is Hebar 1918 vs Rilski Sportist played?
- Hebar 1918 vs Rilski Sportist is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsDobrudzha
- May 22, 2027Ludogorets IIvsYantra 2019
- May 22, 2027CSKA Sofia IIvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- May 22, 2027Spartak PlevenvsSportist Svoge
- May 22, 2027MontanavsPirin Blagoevgrad
- May 22, 2027VihrenvsBeroe
- May 22, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsMarek
- May 22, 2027FratriavsNesebar