Match

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek: prediction and stats

Second LeagueMatchday 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Efbet Arena, Burgas

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasMarek

The Footlab AI model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chernomorets 1919 Burgas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 6,369 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek?

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,604).

57%24%19%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas winDrawMarek win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

4-3-3
  1. 9Z. Petkov
  2. 11K. Dobrev
  3. 96R. Kostenski
  1. 4I. Klimentov
  2. 10K. Kolev
  3. 8E. Yanchev
  1. 30N. Zhelyazkov
  2. 6A. Dimitrov
  3. 13V. Santos
  4. 13Correia
  1. 15G. Argilashki

Marek

4-3-3
  1. 10N. Ganchev
  2. 11M. Miletić
  3. 19Dimitar Goranov
  1. 16S. Mechev
  2. 13V. Lyubomirov
  3. 90P. Georgiev
  1. 23E. Viyachki
  2. 2Nikolay Plyakov
  3. 44H. Kaymakanski
  4. 38A. Dyulgerov
  1. 21K. Kostadinov

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 05:39 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Marek have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Marek(away)3-1Second League
Nov 9, 2026Yantra 2019(home)3-3Second League
Oct 31, 2026Nesebar(away)2-1Second League
Oct 23, 2026Sportist Svoge(home)1-1Second League
Oct 18, 2026Botev Plovdiv(home)0-4Cup
Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home)1-3Second League
Nov 8, 2026Hebar 1918(away)1-3Second League
Oct 30, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)1-3Second League
Oct 23, 2026Vihren(away)1-1Second League
Oct 17, 2026Cherno More Varna(home)0-3Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas wins, 0 draws, 3 Marek wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Marek 1-3 Chernomorets 1919 BurgasSecond League
May 11, 2026Marek 3-0 Chernomorets 1919 BurgasSecond League
Nov 8, 2025Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 3-0 MarekSecond League
Nov 29, 2023Marek 3-1 Chernomorets 1919 BurgasSecond League
Jul 18, 2023Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0-2 MarekSecond League

Last archived meeting: Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on Nov 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1.91.166/159/15
Marek1.31.657/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 1st in Second League (32 points from 16 matches) and Marek sit 13th (18 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chernomorets 1919 Burgas16952301432
13Marek16538182418

A question about Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek?
The Footlab AI model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Marek.
Where and when is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek played?
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Efbet Arena, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Marek