Where and when is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek played?

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Efbet Arena, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Efbet Arena, Burgas

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

Marek

The Footlab model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (1,689) and Marek (1,644).

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win52 %

Draw29 %

Marek win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Hebar 1918(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 17, 2026	CSKA Sofia II(home)	0-1	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Vihren(away)	1-1	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Beroe(home)	1-0	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)	1-1	Second League

Marek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	4-2	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Montana(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 7, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)	0-1	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Spartak Pleven(away)	1-2	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Fratria(away)	1-0	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Marek win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 11, 2026	Marek 3-0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	Second League
Nov 8, 2025	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 3-0 Marek	Second League
Nov 29, 2023	Marek 3-1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	Second League
Jul 18, 2023	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0-2 Marek	Second League

Last archived meeting: Marek vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on May 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	1.0	0.9	5	6/15	3/15
Marek	1.0	0.9	7	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 15th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Marek sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Marek	5	2	0	3	6	6	6
15	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	5	1	2	2	3	4	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek?: The Footlab model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Marek.
Where and when is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek played?: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Marek is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Efbet Arena, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.