Montana vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montana vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Montana (1,626) and Pirin Blagoevgrad (1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Montana win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-4 Montana | Second League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Montana 1-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Jul 10, 2020 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Montana | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1 Montana | Second League |
| May 19, 2019 | Montana 2-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-3 Montana | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Montana on Apr 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montana vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
- The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Montana vs Pirin Blagoevgrad played?
- Montana vs Pirin Blagoevgrad is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsDobrudzha
- May 22, 2027Ludogorets IIvsYantra 2019
- May 22, 2027CSKA Sofia IIvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- May 22, 2027Spartak PlevenvsSportist Svoge
- May 22, 2027Hebar 1918vsRilski Sportist
- May 22, 2027VihrenvsBeroe
- May 22, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsMarek
- May 22, 2027FratriavsNesebar