Match

Montana vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana

MontanaPirin Blagoevgrad

The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montana vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Montana (1,626) and Pirin Blagoevgrad (1,529).

Montana win55 %
Draw26 %
Pirin Blagoevgrad win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rilski Sportist(away)1-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Marek(home)1-0Second League
Aug 11, 2026Yantra 2019(away)2-3Second League
Aug 4, 2026Nesebar(home)3-1Second League
Jul 25, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)2-2Second League
Pirin Blagoevgrad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Nesebar(away)0-7Second League
Aug 18, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-3Second League
Aug 9, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)0-1Second League
Aug 3, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-3Second League
Jul 28, 2026Dobrudzha(away)1-5Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Montana win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 17, 2025Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-4 MontanaSecond League
Oct 18, 2024Montana 1-1 Pirin BlagoevgradSecond League
Jul 10, 2020Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 MontanaFriendlies Clubs
Sep 28, 2019Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1 MontanaSecond League
May 19, 2019Montana 2-0 Pirin BlagoevgradSecond League
Nov 10, 2018Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-3 MontanaSecond League

Last archived meeting: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Montana on Apr 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montana1.21.338/157/15
Pirin Blagoevgrad0.82.145/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Montana5212987
18Pirin Blagoevgrad50053190

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montana vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where and when is Montana vs Pirin Blagoevgrad played?
Montana vs Pirin Blagoevgrad is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Montana and Pirin Blagoevgrad

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