Where and when is Fratria vs Nesebar played?

Fratria vs Nesebar is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Albena-1, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fratria vs Nesebar: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Albena-1, Albena

Fratria

Nesebar

The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Nesebar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fratria vs Nesebar?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Fratria (1,727) and Nesebar (1,709).

Fratria win47 %

Draw27 %

Nesebar win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Nesebar have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fratria
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Vihren(away)	2-2	Second League
Aug 14, 2026	Beroe(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)	2-0	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Rilski Sportist(home)	1-0	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Marek(home)	0-1	Second League

Nesebar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)	7-0	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	1-0	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 4, 2026	Montana(away)	1-3	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)	1-5	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Fratria win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nesebar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2025	Nesebar 3-1 Fratria	Second League
Jan 25, 2025	Fratria 2-0 Nesebar	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 25, 2024	Fratria 1-0 Nesebar	Second League
Jul 3, 2024	Nesebar 2-2 Fratria	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Nesebar vs Fratria on Mar 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Fratria score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 3.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fratria	1.8	0.9	6	8/15	8/15
Nesebar	3.7	1.1	7	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fratria sit 3rd in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Nesebar sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Fratria	5	3	1	1	7	3	10
4	Nesebar	5	3	0	2	12	8	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fratria vs Nesebar?: The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Nesebar.
Where and when is Fratria vs Nesebar played?: Fratria vs Nesebar is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Albena-1, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.