Rilski Sportist vs Hebar 1918: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Iskar, Samokov
The Footlab model makes Rilski Sportist the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Hebar 1918. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rilski Sportist vs Hebar 1918?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Rilski Sportist (1,582) and Hebar 1918 (1,564).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rilski Sportist have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Hebar 1918 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 3-4 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Rilski Sportist win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hebar 1918 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2019 | Rilski Sportist 2-3 Hebar 1918 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 24, 2018 | Hebar 1918 2-0 Rilski Sportist | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Rilski Sportist vs Hebar 1918 on Apr 24, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Rilski Sportist score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rilski Sportist | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Hebar 1918 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rilski Sportist sit 14th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Hebar 1918 sit 13th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hebar 1918 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 14 | Rilski Sportist | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rilski Sportist vs Hebar 1918?
- The Footlab model makes Rilski Sportist the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Hebar 1918.
- Where and when is Rilski Sportist vs Hebar 1918 played?
- Rilski Sportist vs Hebar 1918 is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Iskar, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026BeroevsVihren
- Nov 14, 2026NesebarvsFratria
- Nov 14, 2026Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsCSKA Sofia II
- Nov 14, 2026DobrudzhavsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Nov 14, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsMontana
- Nov 14, 2026Yantra 2019vsLudogorets II
- Nov 14, 2026MarekvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Nov 14, 2026Sportist SvogevsSpartak Pleven