Hebburn Town vs Buxton: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Energy Check Sports Ground, Hebburn, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab model makes Hebburn Town the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Buxton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hebburn Town vs Buxton?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Hebburn Town (1,906) and Buxton (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hebburn Town have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Buxton have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Southport(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Blyth Spartans(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hebburn Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Buxton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Buxton 1-2 Hebburn Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Buxton vs Hebburn Town on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hebburn Town score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hebburn Town | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Buxton | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hebburn Town sit 3rd in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Buxton sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hebburn Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Buxton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hebburn Town vs Buxton?
- The Footlab model makes Hebburn Town the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Buxton.
- Where and when is Hebburn Town vs Buxton played?
- Hebburn Town vs Buxton is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Energy Check Sports Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.