Hednesford Town vs Chester: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Keys Park, Hednesford, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Hednesford Town the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Chester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hednesford Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,073 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hednesford Town vs Chester?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Hednesford Town (1,835) and Chester (1,817).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hednesford Town vs Chester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hednesford Town
Not enough data to predict the Hednesford Town lineup.
Chester
Not enough data to predict the Chester lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 06:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hednesford Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Chester have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 6-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chester(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marine(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hednesford Town win, 1 draw, 1 Chester win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chester 0-1 Hednesford Town | National League - North |
| Dec 17, 2019 | Chester 2-1 Hednesford Town | FA Trophy |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Hednesford Town 0-0 Chester | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Chester vs Hednesford Town on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hednesford Town score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hednesford Town | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Chester | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hednesford Town sit 5th in National League - North (27 points from 16 matches) and Chester sit 8th (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hednesford Town | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 27 |
| 8 | Chester | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 26 |
A question about Hednesford Town vs Chester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hednesford Town vs Chester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hednesford Town the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Chester.
- Where and when is Hednesford Town vs Chester played?
- Hednesford Town vs Chester is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Keys Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.