Marine vs Buxton: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Marine Travel Arena, Crosby, Merseyside
The Footlab AI model makes Marine the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Buxton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marine wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marine vs Buxton?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Marine (1,877) and Buxton (1,915).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marine vs Buxton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marine
Not enough data to predict the Marine lineup.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marine have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Buxton have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chester(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Marine wins, 0 draws, 3 Buxton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Buxton 4-0 Marine | National League - North |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Marine 2-3 Buxton | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Marine 2-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Marine 1-4 Buxton | National League - North |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Buxton 1-2 Marine | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marine sit 13th in National League - North (15 points from 11 matches) and Buxton sit 10th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 16 |
| 13 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Marine vs Buxton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marine vs Buxton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marine the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Buxton.
- Where and when is Marine vs Buxton played?
- Marine vs Buxton is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Marine Travel Arena, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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