Match

Marine vs Buxton: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Marine Travel Arena, Crosby, Merseyside

MarineBuxton

The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Marine. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marine vs Buxton?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Marine (1,791) and Buxton (1,888).

Marine win32 %
Draw25 %
Buxton win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marine have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Buxton have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marine
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026King's Lynn Town(away)4-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Chorley(home)0-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Hereford(away)0-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Macclesfield(home)0-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Bootle(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Buxton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hebburn Town(home)1-2National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Bedford Town(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Southport(away)1-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Hereford(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Warrington Town(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Marine win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Buxton win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Buxton 4-0 MarineNational League - North
Sep 27, 2025Marine 2-3 BuxtonFA Cup
Aug 16, 2025Marine 2-1 BuxtonNational League - North
Jan 25, 2025Marine 1-4 BuxtonNational League - North
Aug 26, 2024Buxton 1-2 MarineNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Buxton vs Marine on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marine1.51.247/157/15
Buxton2.11.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marine sit 18th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Buxton sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Buxton4112564
18Marine4103453

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marine vs Buxton?
The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Marine.
Where and when is Marine vs Buxton played?
Marine vs Buxton is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Marine Travel Arena, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Marine and Buxton

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