Match

Marine vs Chester: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Marine Travel Arena, Crosby, Merseyside

MarineChester

The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Marine. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marine vs Chester?

Chester starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,791).

Marine win29 %
Draw26 %
Chester win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marine have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Chester have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marine
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026King's Lynn Town(away)4-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Chorley(home)0-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Hereford(away)0-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Macclesfield(home)0-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Bootle(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Chester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Spalding United(home)1-0National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Darlington 1883(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026King's Lynn Town(home)2-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Chorley(away)2-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Crewe(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marine win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chester win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 27, 2026Marine 2-1 ChesterNational League - North
Nov 4, 2025Chester 1-1 MarineNational League - North
Apr 21, 2025Chester 2-1 MarineNational League - North
Dec 26, 2024Marine 2-3 ChesterNational League - North
Oct 24, 2020Chester 0-1 MarineFA Cup
Sep 5, 2020Marine 0-4 ChesterFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Marine vs Chester on Jan 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marine1.51.247/157/15
Chester1.30.3113/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marine sit 18th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Chester sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chester44006112
18Marine4103453

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marine vs Chester?
The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Marine.
Where and when is Marine vs Chester played?
Marine vs Chester is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Marine Travel Arena, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Marine and Chester

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