Match

Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Keys Park, Hednesford, Staffordshire

Hednesford TownRadcliffe

The Footlab model makes Hednesford Town the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Radcliffe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe?

Hednesford Town starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,858 vs 1,705).

Hednesford Town win58 %
Draw22 %
Radcliffe win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hednesford Town have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Radcliffe have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hednesford Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026AFC Telford United(away)1-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Southport(home)2-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Scarborough Athletic(home)3-4National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Merthyr Town(away)0-2National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Boston United(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Radcliffe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Morecambe(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Hereford(away)0-3National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Macclesfield(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Spalding United(home)0-2National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Bury(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Hednesford Town score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Radcliffe score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hednesford Town1.71.358/158/15
Radcliffe1.12.148/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hednesford Town sit 23rd in National League - North (2 points from 4 matches) and Radcliffe sit 21st (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
21Radcliffe4103383
23Hednesford Town4022692

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe?
The Footlab model makes Hednesford Town the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Radcliffe.
Where and when is Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe played?
Hednesford Town vs Radcliffe is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Keys Park, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hednesford Town and Radcliffe

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