Where and when is Oxford City vs Morecambe played?

Oxford City vs Morecambe is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at RAW Charging Stadium, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Oxford City vs Morecambe: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire

Oxford City

Morecambe

The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oxford City vs Morecambe?

Oxford City starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,659).

Oxford City win60 %

Draw22 %

Morecambe win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford City have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Morecambe have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oxford City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Spennymoor Town(away)	4-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Harborough Town(home)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Spalding United(away)	1-0	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Bedford Town(home)	1-0	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Slough Town(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Morecambe
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Radcliffe(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	South Shields(home)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Harborough Town(away)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Spennymoor Town(home)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Barrow(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Oxford City score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Oxford City	1.9	1.0	4	11/15	8/15
Morecambe	1.1	2.1	1	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oxford City sit 2nd in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Morecambe sit 24th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Oxford City	4	3	1	0	7	2	10
24	Morecambe	4	0	1	3	2	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oxford City vs Morecambe?: The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Morecambe.
Where and when is Oxford City vs Morecambe played?: Oxford City vs Morecambe is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at RAW Charging Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.