Where and when is Southport vs Spennymoor Town played?

Southport vs Spennymoor Town is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Southport vs Spennymoor Town: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside

Southport

Spennymoor Town

The Footlab model makes Southport the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Southport vs Spennymoor Town?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Southport (1,857) and Spennymoor Town (1,834).

Southport win51 %

Draw26 %

Spennymoor Town win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southport have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Spennymoor Town have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Southport
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bedford Town(home)	4-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Hednesford Town(away)	2-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Buxton(home)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Hebburn Town(away)	1-3	National League - North
Jul 31, 2026	Wigan(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Spennymoor Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Oxford City(home)	1-4	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(away)	0-3	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Merthyr Town(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Morecambe(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Gateshead(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Southport win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Spennymoor Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 10, 2026	Southport 2-0 Spennymoor Town	National League - North
Oct 4, 2025	Spennymoor Town 2-0 Southport	National League - North
Jan 28, 2025	Southport 1-4 Spennymoor Town	National League - North
Aug 20, 2024	Spennymoor Town 2-0 Southport	National League - North
Feb 6, 2024	Southport 1-2 Spennymoor Town	National League - North
Aug 15, 2023	Spennymoor Town 5-1 Southport	National League - North

Last archived meeting: Southport vs Spennymoor Town on Mar 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Southport score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Southport	1.5	1.5	3	10/15	10/15
Spennymoor Town	1.2	1.4	2	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Southport sit 11th in National League - North (5 points from 4 matches) and Spennymoor Town sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Southport	4	1	2	1	8	7	5
17	Spennymoor Town	4	1	1	2	4	9	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Southport vs Spennymoor Town?: The Footlab model makes Southport the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Spennymoor Town.
Where and when is Southport vs Spennymoor Town played?: Southport vs Spennymoor Town is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.