Where and when is Chorley vs Spalding United played?

Chorley vs Spalding United is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chorley vs Spalding United: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire

Chorley

Spalding United

The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chorley vs Spalding United?

Spalding United starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,901 vs 1,776).

Chorley win30 %

Draw25 %

Spalding United win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Spalding United have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chorley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Marine(away)	2-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	South Shields(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Chester(home)	1-2	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Trafford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Spalding United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chester(away)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Macclesfield(home)	0-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Oxford City(home)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Radcliffe(away)	2-0	National League - North
Jul 18, 2026	Scunthorpe(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Spalding United score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chorley	0.9	1.2	4	8/15	8/15
Spalding United	1.7	1.4	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chorley sit 9th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and Spalding United sit 13th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Chorley	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
13	Spalding United	4	1	1	2	2	2	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chorley vs Spalding United?: The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Chorley.
Where and when is Chorley vs Spalding United played?: Chorley vs Spalding United is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.