Heerenveen vs Willem II: prediction and stats
EredivisieMatchday 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Willem II. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,570 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heerenveen vs Willem II?
Heerenveen starts as the favourite with a 270-point Elo edge (2,101 vs 1,831).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Heerenveen vs Willem II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1- 9D. Vente
- 7M. Rivera
- 20J. Trenskow
- 8N. Courtens
- 16M. Linday
- 14L. Smans
- 4S. Kersten
- 19V. Zagaritis
- 45O. Braude
- 3M. Willemsen
- 1B. Klaverboer
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 32V. van Crooij
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 6C. Twigt
- 18Anass Zarrouk
- 52T. Vilhena
- 5H. ter Avest
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 08:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heerenveen have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Willem II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 5-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 31, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 31, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-7 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heerenveen wins, 2 draws, 1 Willem II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Willem II 2-2 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Heerenveen 3-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Willem II 1-2 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Willem II 0-0 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Heerenveen 2-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Willem II 3-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Willem II vs Heerenveen on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heerenveen score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II score 1.2 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | 2.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Willem II | 1.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heerenveen sit 6th in Eredivisie (21 points from 12 matches) and Willem II sit 18th (3 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 21 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 3 |
A question about Heerenveen vs Willem II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heerenveen vs Willem II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Willem II.
- Where and when is Heerenveen vs Willem II played?
- Heerenveen vs Willem II is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Abe Lenstra Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.