Willem II vs Groningen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Willem II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Groningen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,789 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Willem II vs Groningen?
Groningen starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,949 vs 1,772).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Willem II vs Groningen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 7J. Slory
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 52T. Vilhena
- 32V. van Crooij
- 6C. Twigt
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 5H. ter Avest
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
Groningen
4-2-3-1- 9B. Willumsson
- 24P. Clement
- 8T. de Jonge
- 26T. van Bergen
- 17D. van der Werff
- 11J. Ondrejka
- 3T. Blokzijl
- 14J. Schreuders
- 5M. Rente
- 33H. Hateboer
- 1E. Vaessen
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Willem II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Groningen have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Willem II wins, 2 draws, 4 Groningen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Willem II 1-3 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Groningen 2-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Willem II 1-1 Groningen | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Willem II 1-3 Groningen | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Groningen 0-0 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Groningen 1-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Willem II vs Groningen on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Willem II score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Groningen score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Groningen | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Willem II sit 18th in Eredivisie (2 points from 9 matches) and Groningen sit 7th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 14 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 2 |
A question about Willem II vs Groningen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Willem II vs Groningen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Willem II.
- Where and when is Willem II vs Groningen played?
- Willem II vs Groningen is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Koning Willem II Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.