PEC Zwolle vs Groningen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
The Footlab model makes Groningen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate PEC Zwolle (1,875) and Groningen (1,944).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PEC Zwolle have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Groningen have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Twente(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 PEC Zwolle win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Groningen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | PEC Zwolle 1-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Groningen 2-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| May 18, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 2-0 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Groningen 0-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Aug 5, 2023 | PEC Zwolle 0-0 Groningen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 20, 2022 | PEC Zwolle 1-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PEC Zwolle vs Groningen on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Groningen score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Groningen | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PEC Zwolle sit 14th in Eredivisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Groningen sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Groningen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs Groningen?
- The Footlab model makes Groningen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is PEC Zwolle vs Groningen played?
- PEC Zwolle vs Groningen is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at MAC³PARK Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.