NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieMatchday 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Sparta Rotterdam. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
NEC Nijmegen starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (2,139 vs 1,988).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 20N. Lebreton
- 9T. Chery
- 34Kevin Kers
- 99Clement Bischoff
- 35Jamiro Monteiro
- 22A. Kaplan
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 1G. Crettaz
Sparta Rotterdam
4-2-3-1- 9M. Zonneveld
- 11I. Babadi
- 7M. van Bergen
- 21J. Toornstra
- 6Teo Quintero
- 10S. Mito
- 5B. Kuipers
- 3M. Young
- 2L. Martes
- 4B. Martins Indi
- 1M. Brouwer
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 11:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NEC Nijmegen wins, 3 draws, 1 Sparta Rotterdam win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 29, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Dec 15, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NEC Nijmegen score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEC Nijmegen sit 11th in Eredivisie (14 points from 12 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 12th (12 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 12 |
A question about NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Sparta Rotterdam.
- Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.