TSB Flensburg vs Phönix L. II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 22Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Eckener Straße, Flensburg
The Footlab model makes TSB Flensburg the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Phönix L. II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSB Flensburg vs Phönix L. II?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate TSB Flensburg (1,750) and Phönix L. II (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSB Flensburg have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Phönix L. II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
How many goals should we expect?
TSB Flensburg score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Phönix L. II score 2.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSB Flensburg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Phönix L. II | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSB Flensburg sit 4th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (10 points from 5 matches) and Phönix L. II sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Phönix L. II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSB Flensburg vs Phönix L. II?
- The Footlab model makes TSB Flensburg the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Phönix L. II.
- Where and when is TSB Flensburg vs Phönix L. II played?
- TSB Flensburg vs Phönix L. II is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Eckener Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.