Helmond Sport vs Jong AZ: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond
The Footlab AI model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jong AZ wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,481 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Jong AZ?
Jong AZ starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,748 vs 1,619).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Helmond Sport vs Jong AZ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Helmond Sport
4-4-2- 9L. Bajrami
- 11L. Cicero
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 34T. Essakkati
- 10D. Huiberts
- 4B. Koglin
- 5T. Poll
- 20S. Dekkers
- 14Lovro Golič
- 1M. Bergsen
Jong AZ
4-2-3-1- 9Jerolldino Armantrading
- 8R. Robbemond
- 10H. de Wit
- 11K. Toppenberg
- 7J. Hartog
- 8J. Oerip
- 2J. Zwart
- 4F. Andersen
- 5K. Inge
- 3Mathijs Menu
- 1R. Owusu-Oduro
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Helmond Sport have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Jong AZ have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 4-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 5-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 4-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 4-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Helmond Sport wins, 0 draws, 2 Jong AZ wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Jong AZ 5-4 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Jong AZ 2-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Helmond Sport 4-2 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Helmond Sport 2-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Jong AZ 2-3 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Helmond Sport 3-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport on Oct 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Helmond Sport score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jong AZ score 2.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Jong AZ | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Helmond Sport sit 17th in Eerste Divisie (12 points from 13 matches) and Jong AZ sit 10th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jong AZ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 17 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 28 | 12 |
A question about Helmond Sport vs Jong AZ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Helmond Sport vs Jong AZ?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Helmond Sport vs Jong AZ played?
- Helmond Sport vs Jong AZ is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at GS Staalwerken Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.