Waalwijk vs Jong Ajax: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Jong Ajax. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Waalwijk vs Jong Ajax?
Waalwijk starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,525).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Waalwijk vs Jong Ajax
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Waalwijk
4-2-3-1- 9J. van de Haar
- 8J. Nap
- 7R. Fage
- 6L. Postma
- 10T. van Leeuwen
- 93V. Misidjan
- 30J. de Wijs
- 55N. Held
- 4L. van Gelderen
- 33F. Al Mazyani
- 1N. Schiks
Jong Ajax
4-3-3- 9E. Ünüvar
- 11P. Nash
- 7Leo Salazar
- 8Mohamed Abdalla
- 10Alejandro Monserrate
- 6M. Verkuijl
- 4M. Muzungu
- 2R. van de Pavert
- 5Sinclair de Falco
- 3G. Spina
- 1C. Setford
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waalwijk have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Jong Ajax have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | MVV(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Waalwijk wins, 0 draws, 2 Jong Ajax wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Ajax 0-2 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Jong Ajax 0-2 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Waalwijk 2-1 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 18, 2019 | Waalwijk 4-1 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 19, 2018 | Jong Ajax 2-1 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 26, 2018 | Waalwijk 2-4 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk on Sep 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Waalwijk score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Ajax score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Jong Ajax | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Waalwijk sit 9th in Eerste Divisie (14 points from 10 matches) and Jong Ajax sit 18th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 8 |
A question about Waalwijk vs Jong Ajax?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Waalwijk vs Jong Ajax?
- The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Jong Ajax.
- Where and when is Waalwijk vs Jong Ajax played?
- Waalwijk vs Jong Ajax is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Mandemakers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.