MVV vs FC OSS: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)De Geusselt, Maastricht
The Footlab AI model makes FC OSS the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for MVV. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC OSS wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,789 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MVV vs FC OSS?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate MVV (1,587) and FC OSS (1,617).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MVV vs FC OSS
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MVV
4-2-3-1- 7L. Daneels
- 10O. Dumont
- 16R. Klaasen
- 18E. Sierra
- 24N. El Hamdaoui
- 27Naïm Matoug
- 6F. Dicke
- 17S. Wegen
- 22Sven Bouland
- 21D. Asante
- 1H. Wentges
FC OSS
4-3-3- 19F. Nsingi
- 17M. Hinoke
- 27M. de Lannoy
- 8M. Esajas
- 10R. van der Venne
- 11J. Mathieu
- 23D. Vianello
- 2I. Pata
- 26Julian Kuijpers
- 3L. Miguel
- 1M. Havekotte
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MVV have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; FC OSS have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 1-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | MVV(home) | 4-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dordrecht(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MVV win, 1 draw, 4 FC OSS wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC OSS 4-1 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MVV 0-2 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2025 | FC OSS 4-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 10, 2025 | FC OSS 1-0 MVV | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2024 | MVV 2-2 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 22, 2023 | MVV 2-0 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
MVV score 1.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC OSS score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVV | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FC OSS | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MVV sit 9th in Eerste Divisie (16 points from 11 matches) and FC OSS sit 14th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | MVV | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 16 |
| 14 | FC OSS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 12 |
A question about MVV vs FC OSS?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MVV vs FC OSS?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC OSS the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for MVV.
- Where and when is MVV vs FC OSS played?
- MVV vs FC OSS is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at De Geusselt, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.